エネルギー国際機関、IEAは楽観論で知られていますが、それに関する警告、そして世界のエネルギー供給可能性をEPRで整理した正味エネルギー、Net energy分析です。
The IEA forecast for the future of petroleum are not only too optimistic, but also wrong because they are based on summing volumes of fuels which have different output and energy costs of extraction.
Here you find the correct analysis, much less reassuring
http://cassandralegacy.blogspot.co.uk/2013/01/what-future-for-petroleum.html
http://www.resilience.org/stories/2013-01-03/what-future-for-petroleum
そして、より現実的な分析
A more realistic future scenario is the following:
Marco Pagani 2013
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